{"id":870,"date":"2016-04-24T12:31:20","date_gmt":"2016-04-24T12:31:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/?p=870"},"modified":"2019-12-14T11:57:16","modified_gmt":"2019-12-14T11:57:16","slug":"dolar-3-tl-olursa-piyasa-nasil-etkilenir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/dolar-3-tl-olursa-piyasa-nasil-etkilenir\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar 3 TL Olursa Piyasa Nas\u0131l Etkilenir?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amerikan ekonomisinde meydana gelen s\u00fcrekli b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin dolara yans\u0131malar\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn artarak devam ediyor. T\u00fcm para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kazanan dolar; \u00a0alt\u0131n, petrol gibi emtialarda da geni\u015f s\u00f6z hakk\u0131 bulunduruyor. Hatta emtia durumlar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131ndan soruluyor da diyebiliriz. Dolar\u0131n bu \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n ko\u015fusuna FED\u2019in Amerikan dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 duydu\u011fu sempati de eklenince, \u201cDolar 3 TL mi olacak?\u201d sorular\u0131 ak\u0131llarda vuku buluyor. Panik halinde yaz\u0131lan bu senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde, bizleri neler bekliyor bir bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><b>Senaryonun K\u00f6t\u00fc Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ba\u015ftan belirtelim, dolar\u0131n T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 3 lira ve 3,5 lira gibi seviyelere ula\u015fmas\u0131 \u015fu an i\u00e7in tamamen ekstrem bir durum oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Ama yine de haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde uzman g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri de bulunuyor. Kurdaki her art\u0131\u015f, enflasyona de\u011fer kazand\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu s\u00f6ylenti tam da enflasyonun istedi\u011fi \u015fey. B\u00f6ylece enflasyon b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fans\u0131 yakalayacak. Ayr\u0131ca 1994 ve 2001 krizinde kurdaki art\u0131\u015f, bor\u00e7lu bir\u00e7ok \u015firket i\u00e7in ald\u0131klar\u0131 d\u00f6viz kredileri oran\u0131nda ciddi bir sorun olu\u015fturmu\u015ftu. Bir\u00e7ok firma bu nedenle iflas\u0131n e\u015fi\u011fine gelmi\u015fti. Bu firmalar\u0131n kepenk indirmesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan durgunluk, i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar\u0131 beraberinde getirmi\u015fti. Bu y\u00fczden, i\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131 ilk \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerden biri. Kurdaki art\u0131\u015f, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u00f6viz borcunu katlar. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ile bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, d\u00f6viz bor\u00e7lular\u0131n\u0131 daha zor g\u00fcnler bekliyor olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme Zarar G\u00f6rebilir<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Artan bor\u00e7lar \u015firketlerin kepenk kapatmas\u0131na neden olurken, ihracat\u0131n azalmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi bir hayli tehlikeye sokar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sat\u0131c\u0131 mallar\u0131n\u0131 genelde dolar \u00fczerinden ithal edip, euro \u00fczerinden ihra\u00e7 ediyor. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda TL\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131k, s\u0131cak paran\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyerek cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n finansman\u0131n\u0131 da zora sokabilir. Bu durum, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine davetiye \u00e7\u0131karacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>\u0130yi ki Vars\u0131n Forex<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bu k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryolar\u0131n bizden uzak olmas\u0131, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin ve hepimizin yarar\u0131na olacakt\u0131r. Fakat bilmelisiniz ki g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde dolar 3 TL olsa bile kazan\u00e7 elde edebilece\u011finiz bir forex piyasas\u0131 mevcuttur. Ya\u015fanan ekonomik buhrandan \u015f\u00fcphesiz herkes etkilenecektir fakat, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrsek forex piyasas\u0131nda bu durumda <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/analiz\/usd-try\">USD\/TRY<\/a> veya EUR\/USD paritelerine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak karl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. \u00c7ift y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemler ile y\u00fckseli\u015f ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri de kazanca \u00e7evirmeniz m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amerikan ekonomisinde meydana gelen s\u00fcrekli b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin dolara yans\u0131malar\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn artarak devam ediyor. T\u00fcm para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kazanan dolar; \u00a0alt\u0131n, petrol gibi emtialarda da geni\u015f s\u00f6z hakk\u0131 bulunduruyor. Hatta emtia durumlar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131ndan soruluyor da diyebiliriz. Dolar\u0131n bu \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n ko\u015fusuna FED\u2019in Amerikan dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 duydu\u011fu sempati de eklenince, \u201cDolar 3&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":992,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-makaleler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/870","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=870"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/870\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3089,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/870\/revisions\/3089"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/992"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}