{"id":708,"date":"2016-03-04T09:14:51","date_gmt":"2016-03-04T09:14:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/?p=708"},"modified":"2023-08-16T12:17:42","modified_gmt":"2023-08-16T12:17:42","slug":"tarim-disi-istihdam-dolara-destek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/tarim-disi-istihdam-dolara-destek\/","title":{"rendered":"Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam Dolara Destek Olabilecek mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #009487;\">04.03.2016<\/span><\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019den gelecek olan Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisinde beklentiler 195 bin art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz ay ki verinin 151 bin olarak gelmesi sonras\u0131nda bug\u00fcnk\u00fc beklentinin dolar\u0131n lehine fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Fakat ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Dolar\u2019\u0131n di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Buna ra\u011fmen ABD Tahvillerinin faizlerinde ise art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 piyasalarda ki gerginli\u011fin boyutunu artt\u0131r\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Dolar al\u0131\u015f pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maktan yoruldu\u011funun bir g\u00f6stergesi olabilir. Analistlerin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise FED\u2019in Mart ay\u0131ndaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda herhangi bir faiz artt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gitme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca daha da ileri gidip FED\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde atabilece\u011fi en iyi ad\u0131m\u0131n parasal geni\u015fleme olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine inananlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 da g\u00fcn ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e art\u0131yor. Vadeli faiz kontratlar\u0131 da Mart ay\u0131ndaki faiz artt\u0131r\u0131m ihtimalini %10\u2019un alt\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>195 Binlik Art\u0131\u015f Neden Dolar\u2019\u0131n Y\u00fckseli\u015fine Destek Olmaz ?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle FED\u2019in faiz artt\u0131r\u0131m beklentilerinin ertelenmi\u015f olmas\u0131 , yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n dolar pozisyonlar\u0131nda kar alma istekleri ve ABD ekonomisinde yeni istihdam yarat\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 y\u00fcksek gelebilecek olan Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam\u2019\u0131n\u0131n Dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine pek etki etmeyece\u011finin g\u00f6stergesi olabilir. Di\u011fer yandan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ADP\u2019nin art\u0131\u015f\u0131, 4 haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, Devam Eden \u0130\u015fsizlik Ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131, Challenger \u0130\u015f Raporuna g\u00f6re ge\u00e7ici i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar\u0131n azalmas\u0131, ISM \u0130malat Endeksi i\u00e7erisindeki istihdam bile\u015fenindeki art\u0131\u015f Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam Raporu\u2019nun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelebilece\u011finin g\u00f6stergesi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. ISM Hizmet Endeksindeki istihdam bile\u015fenin son iki y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemesi, T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin 2014 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndan itibaren en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye gerilemesi ve Michigan Beklenti Endeksi\u2019ndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ise datan\u0131n olumsuz gelebilece\u011finin g\u00f6stergeleri olarak \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 itibariyle bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak y\u00fcksek bir verinin Dolar\u2019a destek verme ihtimali azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Sadece dikkat edilmesi gereken \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 ve Saatlik Kazan\u00e7lardaki art\u0131\u015flar olacakt\u0131r. Bu verilerde ya\u015fanabilecek y\u00fcksek seviyedeki art\u0131\u015flar Dolara destek verebilir. Aksi takdirde Dolar lehine hareketin daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Dolar Endeksindeki yatay ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde Dolar\u2019daki y\u00fckseli\u015fin duruldu\u011funu destekler nitelikte hareket ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/yatirim\/eksik-istihdam-nedir\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Eksik \u0130stihdam Nedir?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>04.03.2016 ABD\u2019den gelecek olan Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisinde beklentiler 195 bin art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz ay ki verinin 151 bin olarak gelmesi sonras\u0131nda bug\u00fcnk\u00fc beklentinin dolar\u0131n lehine fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Fakat ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Dolar\u2019\u0131n di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Buna ra\u011fmen ABD Tahvillerinin faizlerinde ise art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 piyasalarda ki gerginli\u011fin boyutunu artt\u0131r\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":1158,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-makaleler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=708"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/708\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3831,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/708\/revisions\/3831"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1158"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}