{"id":2810,"date":"2018-02-02T12:56:01","date_gmt":"2018-02-02T12:56:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/?p=2810"},"modified":"2023-08-16T12:05:07","modified_gmt":"2023-08-16T12:05:07","slug":"2018de-euro-mu-dolar-mi-almali-hangisi-yukselir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/2018de-euro-mu-dolar-mi-almali-hangisi-yukselir\/","title":{"rendered":"2018&#8217;de Euro mu Dolar m\u0131 Almal\u0131? Hangisi Y\u00fckselir?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar endeksi ge\u00e7en seneyi yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Piyasalarda ABD para biriminin bu y\u0131l da zay\u0131f bir performans g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fine dair beklentiler var. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc savunanlar, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n politikalar\u0131 da dahil baz\u0131 belirsizlikler oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. 2017\u2019de Fed&#8217;in 3 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Trump h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin vergi reformunu onaylamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Dolar, Euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da %10 de\u011fer kaybetti. Di\u011fer ekonomilerin te\u015fvikleri azaltacak olmas\u0131n\u0131n daha etkili olabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/deneme-hesabi?advp=634\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u00dcCRETS\u0130Z DEMO YATIRIM HESABI<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><strong>100.000$ Sanal Bakiye ile Ger\u00e7ek Piyasa Ko\u015fullar\u0131nda Yat\u0131r\u0131ma Ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere, Japonya ve Avrupa b\u00f6lgesinin geni\u015fleyici politikalar\u0131 sonland\u0131rma ihtimali varken burada sadece Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha parasal geni\u015flemeye devam etmesinin yan\u0131nda, Fed&#8217;in k\u0131sa zamanda parasal geni\u015flemeden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6nelik s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 para politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7ti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Son gelinen s\u00fcre\u00e7te Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 da bu s\u00fcrece ad\u0131m ad\u0131m ilerledi\u011fini takip etmekteyiz. Amerika\u2019ya tekrar d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz zaman Fed&#8217;in faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n dolar \u00fczerinde yine yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yapabilecekken siyasi taraftaki geli\u015fmeler dolar \u00fczerinde tam tersi bir etki yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izleyebiliriz.<strong><a class=\"row-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/2019-dolar-tahminlerini-inceleyin\/\" aria-label=\"\u201c2019 Dolar Tahminlerini \u0130nceleyin\u201d (D\u00fczenle)\">2019 Dolar Tahminlerini \u0130nceleyin<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n para politikas\u0131nda vermi\u015f oldu\u011fu sinyaller Euro&#8217;da olumlu fiyatlamaya neden olmaktad\u0131r. Geni\u015flemeci para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nlemler al\u0131p art\u0131k kademeli bir \u015fekilde azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik hamleler yaparak s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ad\u0131mlar att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 takip ettik. Bunun en yak\u0131n \u00f6rne\u011fi olarak parasal geni\u015fleme taraf\u0131nda 80 Milyar Euro varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 yapan ECB, kademeli olarak \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f plan\u0131 yaparak ilk etapta 60 Milyar Euro ya \u00e7ekmesi, daha sonra 30 Milyar Euro ya \u00e7ekerek 2018 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda geni\u015flemeci para politikas\u0131ndan ad\u0131m ad\u0131m \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 izleniyor. Bu al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemlerle birlikte Euro taraf\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlere sebep oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Bu kararlar\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi olarak takip etti\u011fimiz enflasyon verilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f, Euro b\u00f6lgesindeki daha \u00f6nce deflasyon etkisini tamam\u0131yla ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131p enflasyon taraf\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015ften kaynakl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7meye y\u00f6nelik ad\u0131mlar\u0131n gelece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu sebepten dolay\u0131 EUR\/USD paritesinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlilikler takip edildi. Ancak bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in Fed taraf\u0131ndan gelecek olan faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n dolarda y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketlerine sebep olmas\u0131 beklenebilir. ABD taraf\u0131ndaki enflasyon verilerinde olumlu gidi\u015fat ve Fed&#8217;in 3 veya 4 defa faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapma ihtimali dolar taraf\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fe i\u015faret edebilir. ABD taraf\u0131ndaki siyasi etkilerin ge\u00e7mesiyle beraber dolar\u0131n daha fazla de\u011ferlenece\u011fini beklemek daha do\u011fru olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar endeksi ge\u00e7en seneyi yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Piyasalarda ABD para biriminin bu y\u0131l da zay\u0131f bir performans g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fine dair beklentiler var. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc savunanlar, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n politikalar\u0131 da dahil baz\u0131 belirsizlikler oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. 2017\u2019de Fed&#8217;in 3 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Trump h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin vergi reformunu onaylamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Dolar, Euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da %10&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2812,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2810","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-makaleler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2810","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2810"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2810\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3164,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2810\/revisions\/3164"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2810"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2810"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investaz.com.tr\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2810"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}